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NFL Matchup: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens

Posted on 09/10/2011

The fans at M&T Bank Stadium will be treated to a game between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Baltimore Ravens when they take their seats on Sunday.

Oddsmakers currently have the Ravens listed as 2½-point favorites versus the Steelers, while the game's total is sitting at 37.

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The Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens line had dipped to -1.5 in favor of Baltimore.  That has a lot to do with the fact that Pittsburgh was now getting around 80 percent of the betting action on the spread.  Furthermore, close to 100 percent of those betting the money line were backing the Steelers to win outright in this game.

That is some sick action and it makes perfect sense that the line on this game had dropped from -2.5 to -1 at some books.  A one point change typically signifies heavy one-sided volume.

The Steelers have also enjoyed great success in this series over recent years.

The Steelers have won 3 of the last 4 and 6 of the last 8.  The other two games were lost by only 3 points.

Only once in the last 10 games facing Baltimore have the Steelers lost by more than 3 points (a 6 point loss in December of 2007).

And there's more…

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2010 team records:
Pittsburgh: 12-4 SU, 10-6 ATS
Baltimore: 12-4 SU, 8-7-1 ATS

Pittsburgh most recently:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the division are 7-3

Baltimore most recently:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on turf are 7-3
After being outgained are 10-0
When playing within the division are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

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