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NFL Matchup: Minnesota Vikings vs. San Diego Chargers

Posted on 09/10/2011

The Minnesota Vikings and the San Diego Chargers will both be trying to pick up a win on Sunday when they battle at Qualcomm Stadium.

The Vikings vs. Chargers line for Week 1 of the 2011 NFL season was coming in at -9 in favor of San Diego. This was one of the biggest spreads of the week.  Oddly enough, more than 75 percent of the backing on the spread was going towards Minnesota.

Under head coach Norv Turner, the San Diego Chargers typically start their seasons slow.

Chargers quarterback Philip Rivers had his best season ever last year and is determined to get off to a good start and make the Playoffs.

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"Ultimately, I think you're measured by winning football games and we've won a lot of games, but we've fallen short," Rivers said. "That's the ultimate goal here is to lead this team to a championship.

The Chargers can go deep provided they minimize the number of turnovers. There were a total of 29 last season. The Chargers totaled a league-low 76 over the previous four years.

"The key for us offensively is to protect the ball," Rivers said. "We turn it over way too many times early in the year last year. You look back on seasons where we've won a bunch of games, we've took care of the football."

Minnesota, meanwhile, turned over the ball 37 times last season. They will have a new quarterback in Donovan McNabb.

One shouldn’t be fooled by McNabb’s terrible debut in Washington last season.  McNabb has some big-time offensive weapons to help him out with running back Adrian Peterson and wide receiver Percy Harvin. He didn’t have this type of talented support in Washington, so only time will tell if last season was a fluke.

The Chargers are 18-6 Against The Spread as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points since 1992 while the Vikings are just 1-9 ATS as an underdog over the past two seasons.

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2010 team records:
Minnesota: 6-10 SU, 6-10 ATS
San Diego: 9-7 SU, 8-8 ATS

Minnesota most recently:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on grass are 4-6
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 5-5

San Diego most recently:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on grass are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games
Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Diego is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

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